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Caci international Inc category A (CACI) q4 2021 revenue name Transcript

a close up of a logo: Caci International Inc Class A (CACI) Q4 2021 Earnings Call Transcript © offered by way of The Motley idiot Caci overseas Inc class A (CACI) this fall 2021 salary name Transcript

Caci foreign Inc classification A (NYSE: CACI)

CONSTELLATION brands, INC.

this fall 2021 profits name

Aug 13, 2021, eight:30 p.m. ET

Contents:
  • organized Remarks
  • Questions and answers
  • call contributors
  • prepared Remarks:

    Operator

    women and gentlemen, thanks for standing by using. Welcome to the CACI foreign Full 12 months '21 effects and whole yr '22 tips conference call. latest call is being recorded.

    [Operator Instructions] at present, i would like to turn the convention call over to Dan Leckburg, Senior vp of Investor relations for CACI overseas. Please go ahead, sir.

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    this text is a transcript of this conference name produced for The Motley fool. whereas we try for our silly premiere, there may well be error, omissions, or inaccuracies in this transcript. as with all our articles, The Motley idiot does not anticipate any accountability on your use of this content material, and we strongly inspire you to do your personal research, including paying attention to the call your self and studying the company's SEC filings. Please see our phrases and prerequisites for extra details, together with our mandatory Capitalized Disclaimers of legal responsibility.

    The Motley fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley idiot has a disclosure coverage.

    Daniel Leckburg -- Senior vice president of Investor members of the family

    smartly, thank you, Andrea, and good morning, every person. i'm Dan Leckburg, Head of Investor members of the family for CACI, and we thank you for joining us this morning. we're offering presentation slides, so let's circulation to slip No. 2, please.

    There may be statements during this call that don't address historical fact and as such, represent forward-searching statements under present legislations. These statements reflect our views as of nowadays and are discipline to important factors that might cause our specific consequences to differ materially from predicted. those components are listed at the bottom of last nighttime's press liberate and are described within the business's SEC filings. Our secure harbor observation is blanketed in this display and should be integrated as a part of any transcript of this name.

    i'd also want to factor out that our presentation will include discussion of non-GAAP economic measures. These should not be regarded in isolation or as an alternative to performance measures prepared in response to GAAP.

    Let's turn to slide 3, please. To open our discussion this morning, right here is John Mengucci, President and Chief govt Officer of CACI international. John?

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief executive Officer

    Thanks, Dan, and first rate morning, everyone. thank you for becoming a member of us to talk about our fourth quarter and fiscal year 2021 outcomes in addition to our fiscal yr 2022 tips. With me this morning is Tom Mutryn, our Chief fiscal Officer.

    Slide 4, please. last nighttime, we released our fourth quarter and entire 12 months consequences for fiscal 2021 in addition to our assistance for fiscal '22, and i'm very completely satisfied with our performance. Our fourth quarter consequences were according to our expectations and capped a further strong yr for CACI.

    For fiscal year '21, we delivered salary boom of 6%, adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.1% and strong cash move. Our biological salary increase of 5% changed into ahead of our underlying addressable market, and we delivered match margin expansion. We also gained a total of $9.2 billion of contract awards with over 40% of that new enterprise to CACI. That represents a 1.5 instances e-book-to-invoice for the year with a fit mixture of recompete wins to preserve our base and new awards to force future boom. And we delivered these results while navigating the persistent challenges of COVID-19.

    I couldn't be prouder of all of our employees who continue to help our shoppers while making certain the fitness and defense of themselves and those round them.

    Slide 5, please. Turning to the exterior atmosphere. we are just about seven months into the new administration, and funds indications remain very effective. The administration proposed an increase in usual protection spending of about 2%. and as the NDAA makes its means via Congress, their indications to fund spending may have further upside. Importantly, we continue to look bipartisan help to fund national protection and IT modernization priorities, including offensive and defensive cyber, border protection, C4ISR, digital battle and space.

    As we suppose about cyber backyard of DoD and the intelligence group, DHS' Cybersecurity and Infrastructure security company, or CISA, may be a focus for federal civilian cyber funding. CACI is smartly positioned at CISA and DHS more largely with current programs, consumer relationships and contract motors to handle extra cyber necessities. in addition, the administration is concentrated on enabling technologies and methodologies like synthetic intelligence and Agile application building, areas the place CACI is extremely smartly positioned.

    it be all about an R&D-led agenda to increase capabilities and expertise geared toward near-peer threats, notable power competition and ongoing counterterrorism. All this aligns very smartly with our strategy and capabilities.

    Slide 6, please. searching forward, it remains clear that the long run is software-based. lots of our customers' most pressing challenges have usual underlying wants: new capabilities on the pace of expertise, accelerated agility, flexibility, security and efficiency, all of which can be solved with application. CACI continues to address these wants and exhibit industry management in software construction with assorted pillars of success: Agile application building at scale, DevSecOps the usage of tool-primarily based automation and a spotlight on open application architectures.

    different programs may additionally emphasize extra -- one or more of those points, but they are all existing and key to our future boom. Our agile-at-scale capabilities permit the industrialization of utility development, which shoppers are more and more soliciting for: faster, extra conscious of altering needs, greater productive with materially larger nice. CACI is a frontrunner of agile-at-scale, delivering on the greatest Agile classes in the federal executive. This comprises our BEAGLE program with over a hundred applications. BEAGLE and other CACI Agile classes provide important previous performance and credentials to handle the government's growing to be demand for Agile. in reality, we these days gained new enterprise at a classified agency to observe an Agile utility development to colossal-scale information analytics. This win additionally leveraged the capabilities and customer relationships of our next Century acquisition.

    in addition, you've gotten heard us discuss our a hundred-plus initiatives concentrated on AI. AI is ubiquitous throughout our business, offering purchasers velocity, effectivity and predictive analytics. AI changed into on the middle of our fresh $376 million NGA win, where CACI is constructing out the laptop imaginative and prescient infrastructure, tool suites and analytic environments for NGA analysts, presenting an open most excellent-of-breed atmosphere to users.

    ultimately, a key factor of our approach is to appear additional downfield and put money into differentiated application-defined expertise ahead of client want. Photonics, or laser-primarily based communications and far off sensing, is a pretty good illustration, which got here to us by way of our acquisition of LGS. it is a expertise we continue to invest in nowadays.

    especially, Aerospace and protection primes lately purchased our photonics applied sciences to include on their systems. And we've a nice pipeline of extra earnings opportunities throughout the A&D primes. here's confirmation of neatly-positioned investments in differentiated expertise.

    Slide 7, please. Turning to our FY '22 guidance. We are expecting another 12 months of profits boom above our addressable market, which we predict to grow at about three% over the next 5 years. And we stay dedicated to ongoing margin expansion, according to our cited efficiency desires.

    at the midpoint of our FY '22 suggestions, we are expecting earnings boom of four% and adjusted EBITDA margin of 10.9%, which represents continued expansion of our normalized FY '21 base of 10.7%. furthermore, we predict to continue to generate powerful money move, and Tom will supply extra particulars shortly.

    We're seeing high-quality increase in technology and anticipated to proceed to outpace advantage boom, jointly offsetting the impact of the Afghanistan drawdown. I are looking to emphasize that each one areas of our enterprise are important and can make a contribution to increase and margin growth. And there's a good synergy between expertise and expertise. capabilities informs the technological requirements of the daily mission. And our know-how capabilities are astounding enablers and differentiators of our skills, allowing us to deliver effective and useful consequences to our valued clientele.

    Slide 8, please. CACI's success, driving increase and margin enlargement, continues to generate potent cash stream. Our cash flow and general monetary strength allow us to install capital to pressure extra shareholder value through investments in growth, share repurchases, M&A and different capital deployment options. we can continue to invest forward of consumer should power future increase and differentiation. Our dedication is to make the most of CACI's amazing cash circulate to convey the superior long-term shareholder price.

    With that, i could flip the call over to Tom.

    Thomas A. Mutryn -- govt vp, Chief financial Officer and Treasurer

    thank you, John, and decent morning, each person. Please flip to slide No. 9. Our fourth quarter outcomes were a superb conclude to another successful yr of boom and margin expansion. We generated salary of $1.6 billion in the quarter, representing 5% basic boom and 4.3% organic increase.

    Adjusted EBITDA margin changed into 9.3% and net earnings turned into $137 million. we are also reporting adjusted internet earnings, which we outline as GAAP web income adjusted for the intangible amortization expense associated with acquisitions. Adjusted web revenue in the quarter changed into $149 million.

    Let me remind you that the consecutive system tax trade we mentioned ultimate quarter decreased fourth quarter income and adjusted EBITDA by using $7 million and elevated internet salary with the aid of $fifty one million.

    Slide 10, please. For the full 12 months, we generated just over $6 billion of salary, representing 6% complete increase and 5% organic growth despite COVID-19 impacts. We proceed to expand margins with adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.1%, up from fiscal yr '20's 10% margin. The underlying margin in FY '21, normalized for COVID-linked head and tailwinds, the tax system exchange and the powerful performance on a set-expense program, which we cited on prior calls, turned into 10.7%, based on our preliminary fiscal year expectations. This provides a base for an apples-to-apples evaluation to our fiscal 12 months '22 information.

    GAAP web revenue of $457 million represents boom of forty two%, taking advantage of the tax formulation change and the powerful fixed-fee application performance as well as revenue growth, margin enlargement and lower interest expense. Adjusted internet profits of $507 million represents boom of 39% from ultimate year.

    Slide 11, please. Fourth quarter operating cash movement became $one hundred million, except our bills receivable buy facility, reflecting continued match profitability and cash collections. DSO turned into at fifty four days, and we generated operating money movement of $610 million for the complete yr, both valued except for our AR buy facility. The 19% in operating cash circulate changed into driven by means of usual boom, margin growth and a 3-day discount in DSO. These gadgets more than offset the $ninety million of more money tax payments within the fourth quarter associated with the tax system trade, enabling us to exceed our operating cash move commitment. remember, we additionally benefited from a $50 million deferral of payroll taxes all over the fiscal 12 months.

    We ended the year with net debt to trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA at 2.5 instances, and this leverage reflects the $500 million outflow associated with the March accelerated share repurchase. Our strong cash circulation and low leverage, the low pastime price atmosphere and our equity valuation suggested our choice to repurchase shares to power additional shareholder cost.

    Slide 12, please. Now let's turn to our fiscal 12 months 2022 advice. As in prior years, our guidance is in response to a application-by way of-software, bottoms-up planning exercise. This system offers a major visibility and self assurance in our outlook. We predict salary to be between $6.2 billion and $6.4 billion, implying organic profits increase of four% at the midpoint. here's regardless of a 2% headwind going into the yr, pushed with the aid of the withdrawal from Afghanistan, which we mentioned final quarter.

    We expected adjusted web profits to be between $430 million and $450 million, with $50 million of after-tax intangible amortization fee. We expected adjusted EBITDA margin of 10.9% at the midpoint, up 20 basis features from final 12 months on a normalized basis. Our organic boom and margin growth expectations are pushed with the aid of new enterprise wins in high-value areas of our addressable market in addition to on-contract increase, mind-blowing program execution and standard business efficiencies. We expect free money stream of at the least $720 million -- $720 million in FY '22. Capital fees are expected to be approximately $90 million, better than final year, driven by a few discrete increase in investment tasks. With this, working cash movement is expected to be at least $810 million.

    we will pay $45 million of the deferrals regarding the worker component of the payroll tax in December. And we predict 2nd half tax refund of about $230 million associated with the tax method alternate. We are expecting incremental tax funds regarding the formula change of $forty million in both FY '23 and FY '24.

    As discussed in ultimate quarter's call, the tax method trade is expected to supply $60 million of cash tax mark downs over the 4-year duration with the GAAP P&L benefited recognizing in FY '21.

    Slide 13, please. To assist with modeling, listed below are some further planning assumptions. Depreciation and amortization price are anticipated to be about $a hundred thirty five million. internet activity rate should still be round $42 million. We predict a full year effective GAAP tax cost of 23.5%, with a decrease tax rate within the second quarter due to the impact of vesting of inventory awards, which have been granted in prior years.

    FY '22 tax expense is a bit bigger than closing year's rate in advance of the tax method trade as a result of better R&D tax credit in fiscal year '21. and that i will observe, we are using our full valuable mixed federal and state tax fee of 26.three% to tax impact intangible amortization to calculate adjusted internet profits. We are expecting a customary quarterly sequential raise in earnings and profitability however word that certain factors can skew quarterly trends, such as the timing of different direct charges and delivery of excessive-margin technology.

    We also expect a sequential decline in earnings from fourth quarter FY '21 to the first quarter of FY '22 more suitable than the typical 1% to 3%, because of timing of material buys, drawdowns in Afghanistan and timing of some know-how earnings. And we're assuming there can be no material influences related to COVID-19.

    Slide 14. Turning to our forward indications, prospects remain amazing. For fiscal 12 months '22, we predict 80% of our earnings to come back from present programs, 12% from recompetes and about 8% from new company. These metrics are according to historic levels and additionally mirror an increasing amount of know-how deliveries in our new business content. And as you comprehend, these sooner churn sales come with high margin contributions.

    we've $7 billion of submitted bids beneath assessment, with eighty five% is after new business to CACI. And we predict to put up another $12.four billion through calendar yr-end with over 70% of that for brand new company.

    In summary, we expect an extra 12 months of strong monetary performance with in shape biological increase, continued margin enlargement and powerful cash flows.

    With that, i could turn the name again over to John.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief executive Officer

    thanks, Tom. Let's go to slide 15, please. CACI carried out above all well in fiscal 12 months 2021. despite a difficult ambiance, we did what we noted we might do. We grew quicker than our addressable market and also elevated margins. We generated a sturdy cash move and deployed that money opportunistically to generate price for our shareholders. That capital deployment protected a $500 million accelerated share repurchase, the acquisition of AVT and its amazing ISR technology and persevered interior investment forward of customer need, and we continue to have abundant means for additional price-developing deployments of capital.

    We positioned CACI for growth in fiscal '22 and beyond with potent awards, listing backlog and the capacity for ongoing margin enlargement. With our endured investments, we're well aligned to budget priorities.

    We finished this tremendous success as a result of our personnel' ability, innovation and commitment to customer missions, our company and every different. I say it usually because or not it's authentic. i'm pleased with the CACI crew, each and every certainly one of you, for what you do. critical national safety and modernization challenges remain, and CACI personnel can be there to aid our country meet these challenges. I also are looking to thank our shareholders for his or her continued support of our group and our business.

    With that, Andrea, let's open the call for questions.

    Questions and solutions:

    Operator

    [Operator Instructions] And our first query will come from Robert Spingarn of credit Suisse. Please go ahead.

    Robert Spingarn -- credit score Suisse -- Analyst

    respectable morning.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief executive Officer

    good morning, Rob.

    Robert Spingarn -- credit Suisse -- Analyst

    Thanks for the colour before. Tom, once we suppose about '22, and we understand there is no express COVID have an effect on in the salary and EBITDA guide, but when COVID have been to have an effect on, should we expect salary to return into the reduce end of the counsel range and maybe margins at the bigger conclusion? And what have you ever considered to date in this fiscal first quarter, July, August, given the Delta variant?

    Thomas A. Mutryn -- executive vice president, Chief fiscal Officer and Treasurer

    sure. So Rob, i may birth off with that. it's such a hypothetical question. it's difficult to take a position if COVID have an impact on, what occurs? a lot is dependent upon the level of COVID have an effect on, the way it would affect valued clientele purchasing behaviors, award recreation, our capacity of employees to perform. So because it be so speculative, i am going to defer trying to answer that.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief government Officer

    sure. Rob, here is John, let me add something else, three items. I wager, first of all is that if we examine COVID nowadays versus where we have been 12 to 18 months back, it's our belief that both our consumer set and CACI are an awful lot more prepared than we had been a 12 months ago to cope with this virus. So or not it's a general chance with a battle-hardened solution. 2nd, we took the action years ago to build a know-how infrastructure, as I've referred to during the past, to assist a dispersed team of workers. We truly did that concentrated on being capable of get cleared employees throughout the nation. And it actually did a fine job of supporting us in the course of the core COVID length. and then lastly, featuring choices to our employees on far flung versus in-building workload locations.

    So or not it's these three components, Rob, that going into the yr, we in reality trust we're some distance more suitable prepared to the extent that we can, can be, which is why we're issuing counsel without any extra COVID influence.

    Robert Spingarn -- credit Suisse -- Analyst

    okay. k. reasonable sufficient. John, whereas I've got you, we're hearing lots about Zero trust cybersecurity. and there's these mandates obtainable that federal businesses should still switch over to that protection architecture. So i needed to ask if it truly is a chance for the company. And do you've got any commercial partners in Zero have confidence?

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief government Officer

    yes, Rob, thanks. we now have lots of many commercial companions. I mean, if you study Zero believe, we have a lot of tool companions that we use on our own community as well as customer networks to monitor a big variety of various cyber attacks. What we focus on is as that advice comes in, how can we more suitable preserve? we are relocating all of our networks plenty, lots closer to Zero trust. And for these out on the line, you ought to anticipate americans are going to get in.

    So how do you offer protection to your entire suggestions? and the way do you put different protection mechanisms in place? we are -- as i mentioned, we are hardening our own networks right here as well as networks throughout a number of federal civilian businesses, akin to DHS and others as well as a couple of independent defense networks.

    So we are very a good deal readying on it. we are following all of the new executive orders which are coming out from this administration. And we're also very happy with the work of this administration and the center of attention that they've on doing a more robust job. Now that we have now had COVID and the assault surface has increased vastly and we have so many personnel working in our constructions, in the government buildings and also from home, that it be the right answer, and we agree with that we now have the correct amount of funding and there's more funding to be had with each the infrastructure bill and with others to return. So thanks very tons for that query, Rob.

    Robert Spingarn -- credit score Suisse -- Analyst

    Is there any way to frame the measurement or the abilities?

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief govt Officer

    Rob, sizing the skills is greater at once according to what we are going to tune within the enterprise IT modernization. it be form of an overlay to it. So we'll be -- we will see -- we'll be in a position to provide extra advice once we birth to see separate assignment orders come in on it, Rob. but every time we're accessible selling enterprise value, it undoubtedly will be CLIN or an extra subCLIN to all the work that we at present give.

    Robert Spingarn -- credit Suisse -- Analyst

    ok. obtained it. thanks.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief government Officer

    yes. Thanks, Rob.

    Operator

    The next question comes from Gavin Parsons of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

    Gavin Parsons -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

    hello, good morning.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief executive Officer

    decent morning, Gavin.

    Gavin Parsons -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

    Two-parter on the organic increase and perhaps the three% five-12 months target. the first half, you might be concentrated on 4% on the midpoint, including a 2% headwind from Afghanistan. Does that suggest you're growing to be 6%, so three% ahead of the underlying? Or does that also have some COVID capture-up? and then the 2nd half is, what's your framework for brooding about how a whole lot that you could outgrow that three% over the next two years? and what kind of ebook-to-bill you need to try this? thanks.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief govt Officer

    okay. Gavin, in a position? All correct. FY 2022 profits boom, 4%, which is ahead of our addressable market of three%. in an effort to examine that container asserting, "seem to be, we're that enterprise, which is accessible seeking to grow stronger than our addressable market." And we're the business, frankly, it really is concentrated on first rate revenue. So we're going to develop nicely, but on the same time, we've got to be expanding margins.

    As I study this, Gavin, i could share just a few factors that are in play once we set this suggestions out. Tom outlined a extremely principal one. or not it's a bottoms-up approach, which is why it gives us confidence at four%. but there are just a few components which can be behind the reason why we're asserting 4% today versus 6% or even a bit bigger: Afghanistan discount, degree of churn in FY 2022 and ordinary award duration.

    As you mentioned very precisely, we now have a few 2% headwind coming into FY '22 because of Afghanistan. We shared that over the closing two quarters of FY '21. So even though it be no surprise, after we take a look at that for, be it not for the administration policy exchange there, we'd be soundly at 6%.

    common churn that occurs each year, each and every yr, we'd show that step-up, step-down chart. And once we outline churn, or not it's definitely work that involves a herbal conclusion or income from recompete losses that don't seem to be going to display up in the following year. Churn is constantly about 10% of our revenue, plus or plus or minus, but the churn this year is better than the final couple of years as a result of we did undergo one recompete loss.

    As we referred to during the past, within the expertise portion of our portfolio, and it appears like every year, we're reminded of this, we're very careful to make certain we bid the work, we do at a good expense, with an assurance that we can carry effectively with an eye fixed toward riding bottom line growth. And on a kind of bids, we simply have been no longer a success. So we can say goodbye to some commercial enterprise advantage work, and we'll stream forward on that.

    The closing a part of it, Gavin, in case you look at our backlog, our typical award duration has grown by means of a couple of yr over the closing three to 4 years. What that does for us on a good offers us a really desirable backlog. Longer-time period period work offers all of us lots more desirable visibility of salary tiers and for a lots longer length of time. The downside is, is this going to power lesser profits increase per 12 months. but on account that all those factors, I think truly good about our FY '22 income growth.

    web-net, with out these couple of things, would be a 6% to 7%. You also mentioned, is there any COVID trap up? No. That COVID have an effect on we had, in case you bear in mind, become from the individuals we have been trying to additionally install to distant places places, predominantly in the Afghanistan area. Now with the administration exchange, that has cleared that slate clean. So we had been not ever going to make up COVID work going forward, but we had been trying to find that work certainly to have persisted, and it didn't.

    So Gavin, awful lot of words there. Did I seize nearly all of your questions or anything that we are able to answer?

    Gavin Parsons -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

    that is excellent. I admire all that aspect. perhaps simply following up on the know-how and skills mix. I consider or not it's 50% tech for the year, perhaps a bit bigger popping out in 4Q. where do you see that going over time? And what portion of the backlog is technology versus knowledge?

    Thomas A. Mutryn -- executive vice chairman, Chief financial Officer and Treasurer

    Gavin, we have cited that all 4 quadrants of our framework are crucial to us. we have form of materials. there's alternatives to sort of force value, and one quadrant informs different quadrants. So there is a synergistic aspect to that. For this past yr, expertise grew about 12%, knowledge become just about flat.

    As we movement into next yr, we predict to peer each elements of that hemispheres, in case you will, to develop with know-how, transforming into sooner than skills. and that is supported by using each our backlog and the bids to be submitted within the spending the place we're going after some type of knowledge work associated with that. So again, boom in each hemispheres.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief executive Officer

    sure. Gavin, i'd also add on the technology entrance, we're going to continue to invest forward of client want, either in the business tech enviornment or within the mission tech area. We understand we have what the shoppers are accessible attempting to find. I spent a bit bit of time in my prepared remarks talking about Agile. Agile is a good buzz note. it's in fact tough to do. it's basically complicated to do many times. it's definitely tough to do at scale. And we now have future bids which are submitted in different bids coming up that are going to play exactly on right of that identical past efficiency credential that our commercial enterprise group has spent a great deal of time on. So i'd look for us to continue to force tech greater than knowledge.

    Now in spite of this, in the event that they all grew at 10% every year, i'd be even happier. So thanks so tons, Gavin.

    Gavin Parsons -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

    thanks, each, for all of the details.

    Operator

    The next query comes from Mariana Perez Mora of financial institution of the us. Please go forward.

    Mariana Perez Mora -- bank of the usa -- Analyst

    respectable morning, each person.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief govt Officer

    respectable morning.

    Mariana Perez Mora -- financial institution of america -- Analyst

    So your outlook implied share count is still flattish. could you please describe and provide us some colour on the way you're brooding about capital deployment? How is the M&A pipeline? And what's your appetite for greater share repurchases sooner or later?

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief executive Officer

    k. Thanks, Mariana. So capital deployment, i am going to call on Tom so as to add some feedback to this as neatly. seem, you all have heard us each speak a little in another way about capital deployment after we introduced our ASR returned in March. look, that become purposeful and a dedication to a continual assessment of all deployment alternatives. we now have at all times talked about these deployments. What you might be seeing is potentially a unique level of execution that we might also have had during the past. So additional repurchases, M&A, inside investments, debt discount and other capabilities uses. And that order, just to be clear, is on no account supposed to prioritize alternatives.

    i would want to say that they're all on the table and regarded once we leverage our potent cash, cash flow. M&A remains a vital use of capital for us, but it's no longer the only one. And as a larger enterprise going forward, with improved profitability, stronger cash circulate, we are able to do distinct issues. and you've heard me say during the past, i wanted our capital deployment strategy to be opportunistic and versatile. and i use that word, and, as a really key word, M&A and repurchase and interior investments and debt discount rates and anything else and wherever concepts we've going ahead.

    So from the vision and the strategy of where we're going, that's the place my head is at. Tom, are you able to add some more color?

    Thomas A. Mutryn -- executive vice chairman, Chief economic Officer and Treasurer

    yes. So once again, a few factors. The present ASR, accelerated share repurchase, was done at the start of March, is still ongoing. So we're -- the counter accomplice is still in the market of finishing the proportion repurchase associated with that. as soon as that's achieved, we expect to have birth of one other 300,000 to four hundred,000 shares, which reduces our share count number going into FY '22. That being observed, there become some fairness-based compensation, which might offset that, hence, the flattish share count for FY '22.

    So once the ASR is carried out, we can consider the situation, as John mentioned. The respectable information is we now have low leverage, financial strength, entry to the capital markets, so loads of flexibility. at this time, we estimate that we have neatly in excess of $1.5 billion of capital to install for whatever in keeping leverage at variety of economical levels. this would be all cash. And as most individuals on the call admire, access to capital today is sort of very vast and hobby quotes are at traditionally low degrees. at the moment, we're spending LIBOR plus 125 foundation facets on our incremental revolver borrowing, with LIBOR being 10 basis facets and spending form of 1.35% form of incremental hobby cost.

    So until we investigate what the most efficient approach is, we can form of repay debt. The intent is to are trying to retain zero money balances and cut back debt for glaring factors to reduce form of activity price. And as we go forward, we can proceed to examine that query, both when it comes to our borrowing potential, plus our very, very potent free money circulate this year.

    Mariana Perez Mora -- financial institution of the united states -- Analyst

    best. thanks very a great deal.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief executive Officer

    Thanks, Mariana.

    Operator

    subsequent query comes from Seth Seifman of JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

    Seth Seifman -- JPMorgan -- Analyst

    whats up. Thanks very an awful lot and good morning, every person. i used to be noting the top count number numbers are reduced, and i suppose it became 22,000 at 12 months-conclusion, and that was down slightly from the final 12 months-end. absolutely, the company is growing, the backlog is growing. Is the profile of the enterprise and the increased boom in expertise, does that suggest -- does that variety of trade the hyperlink a little bit between head count and revenue, and we should still think about a company with might be larger earnings per worker going ahead?

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief govt Officer

    Seth, thanks. here's John. that is a more robust answer than i was basically planning on giving, however let me share some -- a few issues here. seem to be, it be been a very long time, frankly, that we have looked at our company when it comes to head count number, people.

    Tactically to reply the circulation from 23,000 to 22,000, that small alternate in total head count, frankly, become as a result of the exit in Afghanistan in addition to some rounding. So tactically, it truly is what happened. however you might be fully appropriate, Seth. With know-how transforming into quicker, our increase is not as correlated to move count number as it become maybe 5 to seven years back. or not it's been a aware street and conscious selections that we've been making to ensure that our increase turned into not predominantly in keeping with our head count number. it truly is -- that does exhibit its hand in our advantage class of work. You all have heard us talk over the final five, six, seven years about how we desired to rightsize that type of labor for a number of explanations: shareholder value, profitability, one of the most decrease margins that had been going to be coming out of that work and the like.

    And we're just at a point where we're large ample and ready ample for us to move win work, which we can differentiate on know-how and our past performance, how we carry, not on even if we have been capable of hire Susie, Julie or Johnny. So yes, so this 23,000, 22,000, or not it's no main indicator.

    Thomas A. Mutryn -- government vp, Chief fiscal Officer and Treasurer

    sure, and that i'll also add that during the company, we're riding efficiencies. And even in the potential area, to the extent that we will boost stronger tools to aid americans operate their jobs, we will get the work achieved with fewer americans. you might have had Agile utility construction is one other notable instance the place ahead of that, it could take an x number of americans to advance application. Now we will do it at materially lower head count number. And on account of that, we're much less thinking with type of wage inflation. Let's employ the right people to do the job, force efficiencies, and we will deliver fascinating charge to the executive consumer in getting the work completed very without problems.

    Seth Seifman -- JPMorgan -- Analyst

    exquisite. Thanks very plenty. And just as a short follow-up. As know-how turns into a much bigger a part of the combine, how should still we consider in regards to the trajectory of capex here? We saw the suggestions for fiscal '22. Is that kind of a gradual state number, proceed to grow?

    Thomas A. Mutryn -- government vice president, Chief fiscal Officer and Treasurer

    sure. thank you. So last 12 months, capital spending was approximately $73 million. This year, we're guiding to $90 million. There was one extensive expenditure that we're planning on this 12 months, which is a facility to do some manufacturing classification of labor which is secured, which makes the ability expensive. This helps a application which has a eight- to 10-12 months life to it. And the way the program is priced, the government eventually pays for that in capital spending, will it be recovered in our -- in pricing. in order that has driven a step-up function in capital spending. difficult to foretell what's going to take place next year. but i would say that we'll stream extra towards that $70 million, $75 million level form of with that 1.2% of profits someplace round in that particular range.

    Seth Seifman -- JPMorgan -- Analyst

    okay. Thanks very a lot.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief govt Officer

    Thanks.

    Operator

    subsequent query comes from Matt Akers of Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

    Matt Akers -- Wells Fargo -- Analyst

    hi. Thanks, guys. first rate morning.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief government Officer

    decent morning, Matt.

    Matt Akers -- Wells Fargo -- Analyst

    I guess the mounted-price contract that became kind of using margins larger ultimate yr, has that kind of reverted to usual? and i wager as we believe of like for modeling the quarterly margins through this 12 months, is there anything kind of atypical that we should variety of bear in mind?

    Thomas A. Mutryn -- govt vice chairman, Chief fiscal Officer and Treasurer

    yes. So the application that we spoke about had some fabric advantage for the first, 2d, third and fourth quarter of FY '21. From what we see, we are expecting similar advantages going into the first quarter of this year, and that's constructed into the kind of information number. So to be able to aid within the first quarter type of margin efficiency. in keeping with my prepared remarks, we do predict earnings in the first quarter to be down sequentially from the fourth quarter revenue, improved than historical traits. And margins may still -- have increasing margins throughout the yr although that, that mounted-price software has contributed to the primary quarter margin.

    So for modeling functions, i might have an expanding EBITDA margin quarters one, two, three, four and 5. Full stop, respect that there are fluctuations in each revenue and margin as a result of higher-margin technology deliveries etc. We e-book to the total yr, we're dedicated to the whole yr numbers, and there are going to be fluctuations among quarters.

    Matt Akers -- Wells Fargo -- Analyst

    acquired it. ok. thank you. this is constructive. and i guess a further. Do you have got any suggestions on variety of vaccinations? and i've heard some talk from DoD and Biden on probably mandating that for executive employees, their contractors, their -- and that i guess do you see any skills dangers that personnel perhaps -- might also now not be in a position to entry facility or do work if they haven't been vaccinated?

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief government Officer

    yes, Matt. What i will share is what we comprehend as of now, appropriate? The administration these days announced, appropriate, that everyone working in a federal facility will should attest to their vaccination reputation. We're doing the same aspect internal of our enterprise. We're in fact requiring folks to attest the equal assistance, not in an effort to music individuals, but so that we can look at facilities and make sure we put the right protecting measures in region. americans in executive facilities and in addition to ours, any county that has considered one of our amenities in it, the use of the CDC's size of severe and high or some thing these phrases at, when it goes orange and crimson, they have to wear a masks. but within the govt aspect, if they do not want to get the vaccine, they will ought to comply with COVID checking out requirement.

    What we now have discovered to date, doubtlessly two times per week and also be discipline to shuttle restrictions. So what we're going to watch, Matt, because it impacts us, and we have personnel going foreign places who don't seem to be vaccinated to perform work on behalf of the govt. There are international locations they will have to be in quarantine anywhere between 5 to 10 days, and we will must figure out how we're going to work via that. So -- however having the vaccine obtainable is a positive issue for every person, however we additionally appreciate the fact that every particular person has distinctive beliefs. And we'll make distinctive choices, and what we're just asking individuals to do is be sensible. And when you are no longer willing to get vaccinated, please make certain that we're being respectful of different individuals in the business, and let's just make certain that we're doing the right thing.

    Matt Akers -- Wells Fargo -- Analyst

    Understood. ok. thank you.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief govt Officer

    sure. Thanks, Matt.

    Operator

    The subsequent question comes from Tobey Sommer of Truist Securities. Please go forward.

    Jasper Bibb -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

    hello, decent morning, each person.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief executive Officer

    decent morning, Tobey.

    Jasper Bibb -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

    here's Jasper Bibb.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief executive Officer

    Oh, Jasper.

    Jasper Bibb -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

    sure. No issue. So only a few of your rivals stated some concerns with passing the delays in the Intel group. simply hoping you may comment on your event there and the way did that affect your pondering round information?

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief government Officer

    yes. I bet i might reply that in a couple of methods. $three.6 billion of fourth quarter awards, $9.2 billion all the way through a [Technical Issues] COVID year and trailing 12-month booklet-to-bill of 1.5. So the primary reply is no. We proceed to see basically decent demand, a heavy pipeline of alternatives and award circulation according to normal consumer habits. Now bear in mind, there are some consumer behaviors that are typically gradual. And in some shoppers, we see a more robust degree of awards slipping to the correct. With every consumer set we have, we really measure RFP day, proposals due date, job award date. And there are some agencies that at times or and historically, make award choices later than what we deliberate. in the old days, we used to put a ninety-day window into our plan. If a few of you bear in mind, that would make up for delays in awards.

    What now we have seen over the remaining yr that we've got stated become slower. So we're tasking, which we truly attributed to COVID and people being out and the like. but again, here is whatever thing we have now been discussing for a very long term. So i could amble my essential reply, which is not any.

    Jasper Bibb -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

    Thanks. That makes sense. So then are you seeing any have an effect on on as a minimum timing from the chip scarcity concerning probably the most product deliveries to your mission expertise enterprise?

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief executive Officer

    I suppose we mentioned with you all all through fiscal 12 months '21 in -- during COVID that the place we noticed that where it be had essentially the most is in our AVT enterprise. We're joyful with that acquisition. They carry loads of superb, excessive price, differentiated know-how. and that they also have been working with our next Century folks. but we've had provide chain issues. we now have had consumer delivery delays, however we have had delays on each ends. One is on -- as you outlined, on invoice of cloth items that have gone from a 12-week delivery to 24- to 26-week start. We're working with our teams to be sure that we do some bulk buys of some of our previous lengthy lead items that are truly going to long, long lead gadgets. however on the conclusion of the day, we also have client start delays as a result of during COVID, our customers weren't there to obtain these gadgets, correct? We must continually do ultimate article testing with them. And during COVID, they have been in every different week or each third, third week degrees had much less time.

    So there may be just a few elements there, however we will -- we are continuing to work that problem. it's a world issue today. we have a modest volume of predictive moves with the intention to take place all through the 12 months. but all in all, we're doing somewhat smartly, navigating our approach via it.

    Jasper Bibb -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

    ok. respect the colour. Thanks, guys.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief government Officer

    sure. You guess. thank you.

    Operator

    The next query comes from David Strauss of Barclays. Please go ahead.

    David Strauss -- Barclays -- Analyst

    Thanks. respectable morning.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief government Officer

    first rate morning, David.

    David Strauss -- Barclays -- Analyst

    Tom, I simply wanted to make clear on capital deployment, have you assumed anything else in the book for capital deployment? Are you assuming you're going to dwell in excess your free cash movement technology, the usage of it to pay down debt?

    Thomas A. Mutryn -- government vp, Chief financial Officer and Treasurer

    sure. that is what we have assumed. There is not any assumption with regards acquisitions and/or other kind of share repurchases. obviously, the normal capex and inner R&D investments are there, but it is what we count on.

    David Strauss -- Barclays -- Analyst

    k. and then working capital seems like it changed into a mild tailwind in '21. What are you anticipating for working capital flow in '22?

    Thomas A. Mutryn -- government vice chairman, Chief economic Officer and Treasurer

    yes. in order you point out, we begun the 12 months with DSO at fifty seven days, ended at 54 days. That three-day discount in DSO turned into value around $forty five million in elevated working money movement. We are becoming near an asymptotic type of degree when it comes to kind of DSO growth. For the 12 months, we're expecting a relatively modest improvement in working capital around $10 million. typically transforming into businesses need extra working capital. We feel we will offset that and perhaps get a different day out of DSO somewhere around these particular tiers. however pretty much flattish is doubtless a great way to study it.

    David Strauss -- Barclays -- Analyst

    k. And do you've got any publicity to this R&D amortization problem?

    Thomas A. Mutryn -- govt vice president, Chief monetary Officer and Treasurer

    No. or not it's now not the class of work that we do. so that is not going to be fabric to us.

    David Strauss -- Barclays -- Analyst

    All correct. Thanks very much.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief executive Officer

    Thanks, David.

    Operator

    The next query comes from Scott Forbes of Jefferies. Please go forward.

    Scott Forbes -- Jefferies -- Analyst

    hi. The normalized margin in '21 have been 10.7%. you have 20 bps of enlargement in '22. I bet what are the main hit, and is there relocating items there around charge habitual, might be the rest with COVID and then simply often know-how abilities?

    Thomas A. Mutryn -- executive vice chairman, Chief fiscal Officer and Treasurer

    sure. So the essential driver of the kind of margin growth is sort of the mixture of our company. We're expecting gross margins to enrich, type of which flow we found the -- form of gross margins being earnings less direct charge, money circulation is down within the P&L. and a few of it truly is pushed by means of efficiencies on classes, which i mentioned earlier within the name, and a richer technology combine. expertise should be growing to be sooner than potential in applied sciences at larger margins. it truly is positive.

    on the identical time, we should still be driving some efficiencies in terms of form of oblique prices. Our oblique prices, excluding fringe of variety of clinical fee and also additional fringe on elevated direct labor, is transforming into around 1.5%. So we're doing an outstanding job of maintaining efficiencies inside the infrastructure. The shared service center in Oklahoma city, which we spoke about in the past, is assisting to force efficiencies. we've been employing RPA expertise internally to center of attention on kind of improvements in other such initiatives.

    Scott Forbes -- Jefferies -- Analyst

    thanks.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief government Officer

    you are welcome.

    Operator

    The next question comes from Josh Sullivan of Benchmark company. Please go forward.

    Josh Sullivan -- Benchmark company -- Analyst

    hi there, decent morning.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief government Officer

    respectable morning.

    Thomas A. Mutryn -- executive vp, Chief fiscal Officer and Treasurer

    good morning, Josh.

    Josh Sullivan -- Benchmark business -- Analyst

    How did the Agile center of attention from customers exchange the usual contracting cycle? you might have received list backlog here. but just by the nature of Agile posturing, the ambiance perpetually alterations. Does that make IDIQs greater aggressive, recompetes less complicated or harder? simply curious how the Agile focal point and increasingly utility-defined world simply adjustments the historic dynamics on that backlog conversion or cycles.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief executive Officer

    yes, Josh, thanks. So in case you feel about Agile within the -- before Agile, the government would contract to have a equipment constructed, and it could be greater of a value-plus or firm fixed price, and it could come in as a single award, appropriate? or not it's a few greenbacks, and we would e-book that upfront. We're all nonetheless working throughout the challenges of contracting for Agile. by using a simple nature of the word, appropriate, or not it's agile, which skill or not it's fluid, it's going to trade. and that is the reason tough in coming from the contracting world.

    What we now have completed, and we'll use BEAGLE because the instance, BEAGLE turned into a onetime award. or not it's a single-award, IDIQ, where taskings get put on to that car. and there is ingredients of it which are also cost plus. it's we want to be sure we now have entry to N number of people as a result of we will have a Y variety of apps that deserve to be modded and pushed out to the container.

    So Agile does a couple of things for us. One, it allows us to ebb and flow americans on that application. What that skill is it allows us to do a more robust job of managing fees. It additionally helps us do a far better cooperative job of managing costs no longer best on our facet, but for our consumer side. Tom made mention of throughout the prior question about 23,000 individuals to twenty,000, 22,000 individuals. What things like Agile does is -- the numbers I are looking to provide you are illustrative, but do provide you a true standpoint. We're offering an Agile utility building with about 300 americans with tremendously low defect quotes on a software that, below the closing issuer, used to make use of over 500 americans with far superior defect price. So what it does is it makes it possible for us to carry programs and agile functions at a reduce fee to our client and a reduce charge. And if we try this appropriate, the margins could be bigger for us because we're taking on a few of that risk.

    So all in all, I don't see Agile going to numerous-award IDIQs. I see them staying as both single award or as application objects, however they wish to buy what we're building in spirals. They are looking to construct a bit bit, check a bit bit, try. and you've got to have the appropriate methodologies in area as a result of at any time, you could be deploying to the field.

    So each of those spirals, you must have a complete answer that you may put out there, you then increase that along the manner. So it is awfully -- it be very material to how we are driving margin increase. it be very large and intensely usual in each our business and our mission tech work. and that i believe we'll all get improved, each govt and us, as we can are attempting -- continue to try to make utility development be as agile as we absolutely can.

    Josh Sullivan -- Benchmark company -- Analyst

    thanks for all that element. after which just a query for your rack publicity. you will have certain the Afghanistan publicity here. however just given some commentary out of the Biden administration, how may still we be thinking about your exposure to that ambiance?

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief government Officer

    sure, Josh. at the least as of nowadays, we have watched the administration make a decision to fully exit Afghanistan via 9/11. and i can -- all i will be able to say is they're executing on that resolution. i am now not inclined to share which areas are still have folks and which aren't, for every person's protection. but if we had been to increase that, we've loads of OCONUS presence outside of Afghanistan right through the middle East, Africa and Korea. these missions are standing enterprise, Josh. there's no discount rates in any other areas. some of these folks that were exiting Afghanistan have been brought into different missions in other components of the globe. and that is entirely, fully baked in our FY '20, '22 plan. And mainly, the Afghanistan withdrawal does not impact Iraq or other places. So there may be loads of focal point on the missions in these areas, is lots broader than counterterrorism. We're speakme about close-peer threats etc.

    And the analytical functions that we supply are in fact offered with a lots broader center of attention in some of these different areas. So we're going to proceed to leverage client relationships. we are very a lot embedded with customers, doing a little incredibly challenging work around the world. And where we will increase our footprint and win new work, we completely will.

    Josh Sullivan -- Benchmark business -- Analyst

    received it. thank you for the time.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief govt Officer

    yes. Thanks, Josh.

    Operator

    The next question comes from Louie DiPalma of William Blair. Please go forward.

    Louie DiPalma -- William Blair -- Analyst

    John, Tom and Dan, decent morning.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief executive Officer

    first rate morning

    Louie DiPalma -- William Blair -- Analyst

    John, are you able to provide extra element on the contract wins that you highlighted with the LGS improvements photonics portfolio? And does CACI have -- CACI have exposure to both laser communications and laser items for directed energy/counter-drone results?

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief govt Officer

    yes. Louie, thanks. So a bit bit about photonics. look, we've got got a pleasant portfolio, differentiated tech and intellectual property. And as you as it should be outlined, LGS did not create that, but they definitely supersized how we go about doing that and where we go about inserting investments in place. we've Todd Probert who has the aggregate of a lot of our mission tech work. He do a great job. He and his team be aware what we want to put money into subsequent.

    appear, in house-primarily based photonics, or not it's all about size, weight and energy. And what discriminates our solution, frankly, is the aggregate of laser modem technology that we now have developed, it is ours, after which on good of that, subtle utility to handle and point that tiny little laser at severe distances so that we are able to enable guaranteed digital communications.

    As I talked about in my preliminary remarks, we've had earnings to aerospace and defense primes. We're seeking to expand that. however what that tells me is that these are huge platform providers, and that illustrates our differentiated offerings. It additionally demonstrates their have faith in us to convey. So here is no longer drawings we now have of one of the most smallest lasers and gimbals. here is basically products so you might touch.

    so far as the dimension of it and the place we go subsequent, frankly, or not it's no longer massive yet, but it surely's got those four things i'm attempting to find. it's becoming, it be ecocnomic, or not it's differentiated, and it's incredibly relevant to where this nation, both commercial satcom providers and our intelligence and our Air force satellite individuals. it's obtained about $1 billion pipeline, Louie. We're very confident that we're on our option to develop that even additional.

    and that i consider your ultimate query became round is it non-kinetic or is it kinetic? We're very focused on laser comms in our laser-based photonics work. however our counter u.s.a.and our SkyTracker and our CORIAN systems have all been modified and are all install to in fact tip and queue distinct kinetic laser solutions. So if we're no longer able to take a storm or drones down, for example, using RF and other capacity, we do have partners that we're integrating our CORIAN solution with that additionally supply kinetic impact. So hopefully, that provides some -- the appropriate type of colour for you.

    Louie DiPalma -- William Blair -- Analyst

    staggering. That was perfect. Thanks, John.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief government Officer

    You guess. Thanks.

    Operator

    The subsequent query comes from Cai von Rumohr of Cowen. Please go ahead.

    Cai von Rumohr -- Cowen -- Analyst

    sure. Thanks so an awful lot, and respectable outcomes.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief government Officer

    Thank, Cai.

    Cai von Rumohr -- Cowen -- Analyst

    So John, your book-to-invoice of two.2 is the most appropriate you might have accomplished in two decades. So it's a major quantity. In a quarter where other individuals, as changed into noted, noticed delays in Intel and kind of administration changeover considerations. turned into any of that a pull-ahead? as a result of at all times, your big ebook -- reserving quarter, as you recognize, is the primary quarter. So should we see a superb however not an outstanding first quarter? Or could the primary quarter be in response to your -- I consider, your 17-12 months list something like 1.8 or 1.9.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief govt Officer

    yes. Cai, thanks. k. a couple of things. I at all times birth off questions on awards by announcing awards are lumpy, correct? or not it's -- sure, the group did a superb job. How these awards are available is so lots more of an element of things we now have completed within the final one or two years. It basically located us better. Our tactics below Mike Gaffney and his super BD crew, making certain we're not getting involved in bids if you want to do an excellent job of completing 2nd. as a result of as I've checked, they do not generate $1 profits once I conclude second. So one, or not it's about shot option.

    Two, the fourth quarter full disclosure had our FSDE ditro [phonetic] work recompete in it. We're doubtless -- off the desirable of my head, Cai, 80%, 85% of that was a recompete work, but there was a pleasant $300 million to $400 million value of additional work because the mission continues to exchange. So there turned into no pull forward. There become no push late. It form of gets again to that fundamental question of, we have not seen fabric onetime as a result of COVID or americans being out, big delays in these awards. we now have valued clientele who have diverse award personalities for lack of a stronger time period. and that they've stored these equal personalities up.

    Would i really like some customers to carry closer to the RFP expected date? completely so. but we have obtained -- as you mentioned, now we have received 60 years of suggestions on how shoppers buy. and i can't point to anything that says they are that a ways off. There had been years that they've been, and we've disclosed that, however we simply have not seen that apply.

    Cai von Rumohr -- Cowen -- Analyst

    thanks. after which, Tom, you outlined that the first quarter probably could be down sequentially a bit bit greater than the normal of 1% to three%. and also you mentioned 4 sort of relative baddies for the quarter. is that this quarter seemingly -- I suggest, is there a chance this quarter may be down yr-over-yr? And secondly, can you put that in the context of four% boom for the yr? I mean, is this quarter like 1% or 2%, and then each and every quarter has better boom as we go during the yr? How should we believe about that?

    Thomas A. Mutryn -- government vice president, Chief economic Officer and Treasurer

    yes. So or not it's unlikely that our first quarter might be down 12 months-over-year. We're anticipating modest organic increase within the first quarter. we've got completed the month of July. we've two months kind of left for kind of mid-August. So if we now have type of modest organic increase in quarter one, with a view to hit the four% quantity, variety of mathematically, we will need some bigger boom within the subsequent quarters.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief govt Officer

    yes, Cai, i might also -- go forward, Kai. wind up.

    Cai von Rumohr -- Cowen -- Analyst

    i was going to say, is that lumpy since you outlined Afghanistan, so the $one hundred twenty million or so hit from Afghanistan, all is in the first and 2nd quarter. So we get form of a hockey stick in the second half?

    Thomas A. Mutryn -- government vice chairman, Chief fiscal Officer and Treasurer

    yes, good commentary. The Afghanistan kind of the Southwest Asia work is disproportionate in the first quarter of the 12 months.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief govt Officer

    Kai, i might also provide some further colour, too. When we now have these birth-off-lower grow, I wish to make sure that we're very, very clear. That pattern is not because of problem in hiring. we now have been watching that. Demand for talent remains excessive, and the skill atmosphere continues to be competitive and challenging. but once again, or not it's no different than it has been in previous years. now we have persevered to try to strive to be the agency of alternative. We put different courses in region, permit people to flow across the company, and we've enhanced our referral application. we have received a good class of interns even during COVID, simply over 300 folks in our ultimate class. We constantly have labored on this through the years to make certain that we at all times had the correct type of ability that we could supply from. and that's coupled with the reality you go after greater expertise work where we get to come to a decision the variety of ability that we need and once we need to bring those on. So I do not want to tie hiring considerations that, boy, we had a hard returned end because you must locate all these folks. that's simply not it. we have completed all of the right things. And so I just need to make sure that, that wasn't in anybody's calculus around will we get the 4% growth? And is there going to be hiring concerns?

    Cai von Rumohr -- Cowen -- Analyst

    fantastic. Thanks and extraordinary job.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief government Officer

    Thanks so a whole lot, Cai.

    Operator

    This concludes our question-and-answer session. i want to show the convention returned over to John Mengucci for any closing remarks.

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief government Officer

    smartly, thanks, Andrea, and thank you on your assist on state-of-the-art call. we might like to thank all and sundry who dialed in or listened to the webcast for their participation. We be aware of that lots of you can have comply with-on questions. Tom Mutryn, Dan Leckburg and George cost are available after present day call. Please stay fit, and all our most appropriate to you and your households.

    This concludes our name. thank you, and have a pretty good day.

    Operator

    [Operator Closing Remarks]

    length: sixty seven minutes

    name individuals:

    Daniel Leckburg -- Senior vice president of Investor family members

    John S. Mengucci -- President and Chief govt Officer

    Thomas A. Mutryn -- government vice president, Chief financial Officer and Treasurer

    Robert Spingarn -- credit Suisse -- Analyst

    Gavin Parsons -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

    Mariana Perez Mora -- bank of america -- Analyst

    Seth Seifman -- JPMorgan -- Analyst

    Matt Akers -- Wells Fargo -- Analyst

    Jasper Bibb -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

    David Strauss -- Barclays -- Analyst

    Scott Forbes -- Jefferies -- Analyst

    Josh Sullivan -- Benchmark enterprise -- Analyst

    Louie DiPalma -- William Blair -- Analyst

    Cai von Rumohr -- Cowen -- Analyst

    more CACI evaluation

    All earnings name transcripts

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